To conserve and sustain our ocean we must understand how this environment behaves and changes. Ocean models can simulate the past and predict the future state of the ocean. Ocean monitoring and prediction systems make use of ocean knowledge-based models to produce ocean state estimates which are homogeneous in space and time, and consistent with our state-of-the-art knowledge of ocean processes.
Model (re)analyses merge and fill the gaps between in situ and satellite observations (data assimilation), extending the influence and value of these observations to our understanding of the ocean’s state.
Model forecasts propagate the present state estimates into the future, allowing us to work safely at sea, protect coastal communities and take actions that minimise our impacts on the ocean environment. This session will explore the why’s and how’s of our use and development of ocean models to monitor and predict ocean state.
Ocean models : the numerical ocean in four dimensions
Overview of European and international efforts to monitor and forecast the ocean using models, including Copernicus Marine Service, OceanPredict and OceanPrediction DCC forecasting systems, Horizon Europe projects.
Andrew Saulter - Met Office
How to monitor and forecast the ocean with models?
Training EDITO Model Lab - from model development to what if scenarios on the digital twin of the ocean
EDITO-Model Lab Training Workshop aims to involve relevant end-users (decision-makers and citizens) and encourage them to test the project’s simulations of What if Scenarios available on the EDITO Platform and to perform their own What if Scenario (WIS)-based simulations.
Moderators: - Francisco Campuzano (+Atlantic Colab), Fabrice Messal (Mercator Ocean International) and Yann Drillet (Mercator Ocean International)
- Introduction - Joanna Staneva (Hereon)
- "What if Scenario" Demonstrations:
Nature-Based Solutions for biodiversity & coastal hazards – Wei Chen (Hereon) and Joanna Staneva (Hereon)
Marine Plastic for Zero Pollution – Jens Murawski (DMI)
Aquaculture for Zero Carbon - Lorinc Meszaros (Deltares)
- Q&A
Full session
Training EDITO Model Lab
Marine Environment Reanalyses Evaluation Project - MER-EP I Towards an improved knowledge of the global ocean environment of the past decades, to support ocean reporting and ocean prediction.
Kick off of the Marine Environment Reanalysis Evaluation Project MER-EP that focuses on observations-model systems used to reconstruct the ocean state since the latter 20th century, evaluating the state-of-the-art and how these datasets can be employed in describing how our ocean behaves and is changing.
Chunxue Yang - National Research Council - CNR
Use Physical Ocean
Reanalyses to Monitor
Ocean Changes
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